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Anatole Kaletsky

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Capitalism 4.0: The Birth of a New Economy in the Aftermath of Crisis ハードカバー – 2010/6/22

英語版 Anatole Kaletsky (著)

4.0 43個の評価

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In early 2009, many economists, financiers, and media pundits were confidently predicting the end of the American-led capitalism that has shaped history and economics for the past 100 years. Yet the U.S. economic model, far from being discredited, may be strengthened by the financial crisis.

In this provocative book, Anatole Kaletsky re-interprets the financial crisis as part of an evolutionary process inherent to the nature of democratic capitalism. Capitalism, he argues, is resilient. Its first form, Capitalism 1.0, was the classical laissez-faire capitalism that lasted from 1776 until 1930. Next was Capitalism 2.0, New Deal Keynesian social capitalism created in the 1930s and extinguished in the 1970s. Its last mutation, Reagan-Thatcher market fundamentalism, culminated in the financially-dominated globalization of the past decade and triggered the recession of 2009-10. The self-destruction of Capitalism 3.0 leaves the field open for the next phase of capitalism's evolution. Capitalism is likely to transform in the coming decades into something different both from the totally deregulated market fundamentalism of Reagan/Thatcher and from the Roosevelt-Kennedy era. This is Capitalism 4.0.

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本の長さ

416ページ
言語

英語
出版社

PublicAffairs
発売日

2010/6/22
寸法

16.51 x 3.18 x 24.13 cm
ISBN-10

1586488716
ISBN-13

978-1586488710
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Literary Review, July 2010
“Hugely ambitious…. The overall impression is startlingly original. Kaletsky offers a genuinely new take on the credit crunch.”

The Economist, July 8, 2010“Pedants will find plenty to quibble about in Mr Kaletsky’s analysis of the past, let alone his predictions.. But his book is full of clever insights. For sheer intellectual chutzpah and creativity, it is well worth reading.” Financial Times, July 18, 2010“Provocative…. There are now many – too many – books on the credit crunch. Kaletsky’s considerable achievement is to put these events in a perspective that looks back to history and forward to an extended future, and to do so in a framework which goes far beyond a chronology of events. His book is a major contribution to the debate on the nature of the market economy that needs to follow the practical failures of market fundamentalism.”

著者について

Anatole Kaletsky is editor-at-large of The Times of London, where he writes a column on politics, economics, and international relations. Kaletsky was a full-time journalist for The Times, Financial Times, and The Economist from 1976 until 1998 when he expanded his activities to include economic forecasting and financial consulting.

登録情報

出版社 ‏ : ‎ PublicAffairs; 第1版 (2010/6/22)
発売日 ‏ : ‎ 2010/6/22
言語 ‏ : ‎ 英語
ハードカバー ‏ : ‎ 416ページ
ISBN-10 ‏ : ‎ 1586488716
ISBN-13 ‏ : ‎ 978-1586488710
寸法 ‏ : ‎ 16.51 x 3.18 x 24.13 cm

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Susan Ennis

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Very good

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dws

compelling analysis of 2007-2008

2012年9月24日にアメリカ合衆国でレビュー済み

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This book minces no words, and lays what really happened leading
up to the Great Depression, and how the calamity evolved. It delves
into the details of the economics, relying on historical data,
with some suprising and disturbing insights. Yet, over all, it
conveys a message of optimism. The world will not end. Capitalism
is not static; it evolves to cope with world changes. It will do
so again. This book will challange your thinking like few others.

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christodoulos kyradjis

The death of capitalism, postponed...

2013年6月22日に英国でレビュー済み

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The current economic crisis has led to confusion as to 'what next'. As a piece of grafitti in Athens said' Marx is dead, God is dead... and I don't feel very well lately'. In other words, with the failures of socialism and of the Church, the failure of capitalism left people exasperated and with shaken beliefs. It also left us looking for solutions after most of what we believed to be cast in stone -such as bank accounts/guarantees for example- crumbled. This book gives the answer in what it calls CAPITALISM 4.0. Although in driving the point home it does get a little repetitive, it analyses the evolution and failures of past forms of capitalism and proposes a new form where the former unshakeable dogmas have little place. The new form of capitalism is the pragmatic application of everything we know about economics, politics and the human nature. It signals the end of Monetarist market fundamentalism (and simple mindedness) and is all for practical economic management on the basis of fact rather than belief. A very good buy for those looking for answers.

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werner schellnast

Kaletsky: "Capitalism 4.0"

2013年1月12日にドイツでレビュー済み

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Wenn Sie den finanziellen Supergau nach Lehman verstehen wollen, in seinen historischen - politischen Ursachen und Zusammenhängen, dann ist diese Buch ein "must". Kaletsky analysiert nicht nur hervorragend die mehrschichtigen Entwicklungen in Finanzen, Politik, Technoligie und Kultur der letzten Jahrzente. Er weist auch nach, dass diese Entwicklung "systemimanent" zu einem Supergau führen mussten. Die Frage war letztlich nur mehr der Zeitpunkt und ein Anlassereignis, der "Tipping-Point", wie es Malcolm Gladwell formulieren würde. Kaletsky belässt es aber nicht bei dieser Analyse, sondern entwickelt aus deren Mosaiksteinen auch eine Antwort, wie es mit einer adaptierten Form der Zusammenarbeit zwischen Politik und Wirtschaft auch in einer globaliserten Welt einen sinnvollen Fortbestand einer adaptierten Form der Marktwirtschaft geben kann. Dieses Buch ist inzwischen auch in einer guten Übersetzung in deutscher Sprache erhältlich.

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Serge J. Van Steenkiste

Unmatched Resilience of Modern Capitalism

2010年7月26日にアメリカ合衆国でレビュー済み

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Anatole Kaletsky's key aim is to demonstrate that modern capitalism does not break, but bend in times of "existential" crises (p. 191). Like democracy, modern capitalism has an inherent institutional and political flexibility at its core (pp. 2; 19-20; 35; 311). This evolutionary ecosystem has reinvented and reinvigorated itself through rare crises for the last 250 years (pp. 3; 26; 36-37).

Modern capitalism has more staying power than its critics on both Left and Right usually want to give it for two key reasons:

1. Capitalism has been able to overcome its own contradictions allowing it to undergo radical change (pp. 2; 5; 21; 34-35; 52-53; 82; 157; 201-208; 246; 269-270);
2. Ambition, initiative, individualism, and competitive spirit are embedded in human DNA (pp. 1-2; 20; 22; 25; 41).

Kaletsky reminds his audience that the critical distinction between crises in capitalism and crises of capitalism is often overlooked. Crises in capitalism represent what Joseph Schumpeter called the process of creative destruction through which a group of businesses and industries are reorganized through the regular economic cycles of booms and busts (p. 34). In contrast, crises of capitalism have an impact on the broader capitalist system itself, shake economic assumptions and political beliefs, and cause far-reaching changes both within and between states (pp. 37-38).

The necessary metamorphosis of the capitalist system is at its most difficult when it is close to breakdown. The interest groups that have wealth and power under the threatened existing iteration of modern capitalism defend ruthlessly the status quo under the pretext that any attempt to change their cherished system is doomed to failure (pp. 9; 22-24).

To facilitate the understanding of this extraordinary resilience of modern capitalism, Kaletsky subdivides its history into what he calls the four ages of capitalism. The changing relationship between government and private enterprise has been the clearest feature of capitalism's evolution from one phase to the next (pp. 4; 192). Kaletsky further subdivides the first three ages of capitalism into several sub-periods to capture the key developments that occurred in each of these periods (pp. 43-54). Some historians will argue with Kaletsky's timeline and the way he regroups events to come up with these first three ages. The author notes on this subject: Unlike history, economics relies on simplifications and stylized facts (p. 44).

During Capitalism 1 that lasted from 1776 to the 1920s, economics and politics were to a large extent two distinct realms of human activity and emotion (pp. 3; 43-44). Governments intervened in the economy to collect taxes, mainly to pay for wars, and protect influential political interests without undermining both private property and the profit motive (pp. 4; 44-45). These interventions were expected to disappear over time as a result of a "natural" evolution towards liberalism and free trade. Managing economic activity and employment was excluded from the duties of the state (pp. 45; 159-161).

Capitalism 2 that found its genesis in both the Bolshevik revolution and the Great Depression lasted for about 40 years (pp. 3; 49). Strong belief in benign, omniscient governments and an instinctive distrust of markets, especially financial markets, were the dominant features of this phase of capitalism (pp. 161-168).

Capitalism 3 gestated in the global inflation of the late 1960s and 1970s and was unleashed onto the world under Ronald Reagan and Margaret Thatcher (pp. 3; 51; 53; 76; 80). Capitalism 3 was the antithesis of Capitalism 2, reflecting a firm belief in benign, omniscient markets and an adamant distrust of governments (pp. 3-5; 85-102; 128-155; 168-180; 195). Capitalism 3 got the coup de grace with the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers in 2008 (pp. 1; 124; 130; 136). Kaletsky notes paradoxically that the wealth created under Capitalism 3 was to a large extent illusory and much smaller than the wealth created by the government-led high-tax capitalism of the 1950s and 1960s (pp. 12-13; 268).

Kaletsky argues that instead of separating government and private enterprise, capitalism 4.0 will bring them in closer relationship (pp. 8; 31; 190-196). Experimentation and pragmatism will color public policy, economics, and business strategy, even it means uncertainty, ambiguity, and inconsistency (pp. 8-9; 26; 30; 40; 200; 258; 279; 306; 318). Kaletsky expects that capitalism 4.0 to exist for 30-40 years before making room for capitalism 5.0 (p. 331).

The main value of Kaletsky's book lies in his framing of the key features of capitalism 4.0 that is emerging around the world in the aftermath of the 2007-2009 crisis (pp. 3, 7):

1. Shrinkage of government size, despite an expansion of government responsibilities and influence (pp. 10; 266; 270; 274-275);
2. Sharper distinction between the twin goals of taxation, i.e., revenue raising and redistribution. Choices between higher taxes and cutbacks in social entitlements or big reduction in all other discretionary public activities are inevitable (pp. 231-245; 271-272; 278; 287-290);
3. Convergence of heath care toward a mixed public-private model (pp. 10; 282-287);
4. Higher education more likely to become more market-oriented (pp. 10; 271; 281-282);
5. Expected privatization of many public services such as postal service and infrastructure (p. 270);
6. Tightening of financial regulations and resumption of the 1980s model of floating currencies (pp. 10; 222-228; 250; 256; 270; 291-301; 329-331);
7. Competition rather than convergence between the Chinese and Western models of politico-economic development (pp. 11; 257; 304-313; 315-317);
8. Business support for government subsidies and taxes directed at specific (say, manufacturing) industries or sectors due to massive amount of industrial restructuring expected to happen worldwide (pp. 314-315; 317-318; 322). Structural unemployment in the U.S. cannot be solved without an assertive industrial policy that complements free trade (pp. 250-259; 317);
9. Rationalization of the consumption of raw materials and fresh water through taxation (pp. 196-200; 317-329).

Kaletsky concludes by saying that if the necessary reforms happen, American-led democratic capitalism will reemerge as the most successful and attractive political-economic model for both advanced and emerging economies (pp. 12, 33; 312-313).

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